Genoa vs Empoli Predictions & Betting Tips, Match Previews Italian Serie A

Genoa vs Empoli

2016/17 Italian Serie A.

Date: Sunday, 16 October 2016

Kick-Off: 14:00 UK,

Venue: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa).

Genoa will be expecting to claim their fourth win of the season against 19th placed Empoli. The visitors have a poor away record, while they’ve won just once all season. They need to improve, or face dropping into the second tier. Can they end an eight year wait for a victory at Stadio Luigi Ferraris?

Genoa have been beaten just once in six Serie A games so far. Despite that strong record, they’re mid-table in Serie A. They are yet to suffer a defeat at home, taking five points from their last three in front of their own fans. They average two goals per game at their own ground, but they’ve scored just twice in their last four matches.

Both of those goals came from the same player, Giovanni Simeone, son of Atletico Madrid boss Diego, is the only man to score for Genoa since the start of September. It’s fair to say he hasn’t followed in his father’s footsteps. Diego was a tough tackling defensive midfielder, while Giovanni is a forward. He’s clearly adept at leading the line, judging by his recent form. Simeone is 9/4 with bet365 to continue his streak by scoring anytime against Empoli.

The visitors could do with Simeone up front themselves, as they have drawn a blank in their last four games. They’ve failed to score in seven of their last eight Serie A matches on the road, including none in three this term. Empoli have converted 3% of their chances so far, they average 0.23 goals a game and both of their league goals this term have come from set pieces. Genoa have yet to concede from a set piece this season.

If you look at their head to head record at this ground, you can see that this is usually a low scoring fixture. In the last five meetings at Stadio Luigi Ferraris, these two have scored three goals each and four of those five matches have seen less than 1.5 goals. So far this term, 67% of Genoa’s games have seen less than 2.5 goals, while the same has happened in 71% of Empoli’s. We’re backing that run to continue, under 2.5 goals is our bet here at 8/11 with bet365.

Genoa vs Empoli Head-to-head statistics

Genoa have won 13, drawn four, and lost three of their last 20 home games against teams lower than them in the table.
The Grifone have not lost to Empoli at home since April 27, 2008
There have also been under 2.5 goals in the last 11 meetings between Genoa and Empoli.
The Azzurri have lost eight out of their last nine away games.
Empoli have also failed to score in seven out of their past eight road fixtures.
Empoli have only won one out of their last 20 road games against teams ranked higher than them in the table (five draws, 14 losses).

Genoa vs Empoli: Prediction

This historically has been a low-scoring fixture, and Sunday’s encounter is not expected to be any different. Genoa, as noted before, are unbeaten on home turf. Empoli have lost the majority of their road games, and more significant, have struggled to find the net both home and away. Expect this to be a tight affair, with Empoli trying to keep it at 0-0 for as long as possible, but Genoa should have enough to edge out their opponents.

Genoa vs Empoli: Betting tips

Under 2.5 goals at 8/11 (1.73)
Genoa to win at 3/4 (1.75).

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